The seeded players have all played their first matches of the Miami Open, as week one of the event wraps up.
For Sunday’s best bets, we’ll delve into a pair of matches that features four seeds that all came through their first tests of the tournament.
Read on for my previews for Sinner vs Dimitrov and Fritz vs Shapovalov.
Match times are subject to change. Read here for advice on viewing tennis.
Miami Open Odds, Picks
Jannik Sinner (-415) vs Grigor Dimitrov (+290)
7 p.m. ET
Jannik Sinner and Grigor Dimitrov could put on an absolute show on Grandstand to close out the proceedings on that court for the day if the Bulgarian is up for it.
The 31-year old has the ability do just about everything really well, but he can struggle on return and he’s no stranger to donating a break of serve here and there in a set, which is tough to him to recover.
With a strong service game – both on first and second serves – and silky smooth groundstrokes, Dimitrov has always had top-end potential, but he hans’t really ever lived up to it.
The mental game has been somewhat suspect, and he’s been known to leak errors at the worst possible times.
He’s someone that can play up or down to the level of his competition, and that’s why I like the over in this one.
With his serve and big game from the baseline, I’m not sure this one should be lined at 21.5 versus the standard 22.5 games we’d normally see in men’s tennis.
Pick: Over 21.5 games (-120 via DraftKings)
Taylor Fritz (-300) vs Denis Shapovalov (+225)
1:30 p.m. ET
The second match that could deliver some entertaining tennis features an all-North American tilt between Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov.
The Canadian has the talent to keep things close or even beat just about anyone on his day, but his volatility has really kept him from taking the next step on the ATP Tour.
Shapovalov’s serve and forehand are legitimate weapons and he move well, but the double faults can creep into his game, he plays with nearly no margin for error and his one-handed backhand needs to become more consistent and develop the ability to play more defensively.
That said, he’s not exactly someone I’d be keen on backing as a favorite. Laying games or juice on the moneyline can often be a recipe for disaster with the Canadian.
As an underdog, however, his talent is too great to overlook.
Fritz has been relatively strong this season, and he plays a much more controlled game when it comes to his aggression, but it’s not like he isn’t susceptible to being dragged into longer matches or being upset.
I’ll happily take the over here, as two big servers and talented guys in their early-to-mid 20s go toe-to-toe for a spot in the fourth round.
Pick: Over 22.5 (-115 via BetMGM)
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