Catena Media provides exclusive sports betting content to AL.com, including picks, analysis, tools and sportsbook offers to help bettors get in on the action. Please wager responsibly.
The AFC-topping Miami Dolphins have a chance to extend their lead in the conference with what on paper should be a home gimme against the AFC South’s bottom side the Tennessee Titans on Week 14 Monday Night Football. But at this stage of the season, complacency can be a killer. Will the Dolphins get their 10th win against the 4-8 Titans?
We offer some best betting picks as well as tips on how best to bet on the game.
NFL Week 14 Titans vs. Dolphins odds preview
This matchup is blowout material, and Miami is nearly a two-touchdown favorite for good reason.
The Dolphins, sat atop the AFC, are hunting for their fourth consecutive victory after sweeping aside the Washington Commanders 45-15 in Week 13. Remarkably, that was the ninth time they’ve scored 30 or more points in a game this year. They’re also unbeaten at home.
Last week, De’Von Achane returned from a knee injury and had 17 carries for 73 yards and two touchdowns, while the ever-explosive Tyreek Hill had his third-straight 100-yard game with five catches for 157 yards and two scores.
In stark contrast, the Titans are dead last in their division, have lost four of the last five, and fell to the Indianapolis Colts 31-28 last week in overtime. They absolutely stink outside of Tennessee, having lost all six of their road clashes this season, and now travel to an imposing opponent that is undefeated on its own patch.
Kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium is at 7:15 p.m. CT live on ESPN.
NFL Week 14 Titans vs. Dolphins best bet: Dolphins -13 (-112 or better)
It can always be tough to find the confidence to bet on a double-digit spread but this should be as close to a lock as you’ll see.
Miami hasn’t been particularly impressive against top-quality teams but thoroughly dominates inferior opposition, going 9-0 against teams at or below .500, with an average winning margin of 18.6. Monday’s hosts have allowed 15 points or fewer in three straight games and average 32 points per game, second in the NFL. This will be the fourth time this year that Miami has been at least a 13-point home favorite, and they’ve covered the spread in two of those three contests. This week’s matchup favors them as much as any this season.
NFL Week 14 Titans vs. Dolphins best bet: Over 46.5 points (-110 or better)
In eight games against sub-.500 teams, the Dolphins are averaging nearly 40 points per game. Assuming they get close again, that leaves just a handful needed from the Titans to tip the total over the 46.5 line. That’s highly attainable, as Tennessee has averaged 18.2 points per game since Will Levis took over as starting QB.
The Titans also have their own weaponry. Derrick Henry should be fit after a feared concussion and the star RB had his third 100-yard game of the season last week with 21 carries and two touchdowns. Henry is second in the NFL with 841 rushing yards and has eight rushing scores. Relying on Henry and Tyjae Spears, who had his best rushing game as a pro last week, could get some points on the board in defeat for the visitors.
NFL Week 14 Titans vs. Dolphins player prop: Tua Tagovailoa over 285.5 passing yards (-118 or better)
Tua Tagovailoa has hit the passing yards over in eight of his last nine games and eclipsed this week’s 285.5-yard mark five times from 12 games already this season, and he’s primed to do so again here. In fact, the main threat to an Over bet here is likely not the Titans’ defense but Tua and the Dolphins stepping off the gas with the game already won early.
But, overall, the Titans can’t defend the pass at all and they can’t pressure the quarterback properly. Tua is among the elite of the NFL’s current crop. You do the math.
NFL Week 14 Titans vs. Dolphins best bets: How to claim your sports betting bonus, best NFL promotions
Taking advantage of one of our sportsbook welcome promos to place your bet on the game couldn’t be easier. All you need to do is follow this handy guide:
- Click one of our promo code links and sign up using our code where applicable.
- Make a first deposit of the qualifying amount through an approved method.
- Place a qualifying first bet on the market of your choice.
Once you’ve signed up and claimed your welcome bonus at your sportsbook(s) of choice, all the top sportsbooks also offer a range of ongoing bonuses, promotions, and perks for members, such as:
- Odds boosts: Receive enhanced odds on select markets.
- Referral bonus: Collect a bonus for each friend who opens a new account and makes a deposit through your exclusive referral link.
Think you know Alabama and Auburn football? Play the AL.com Prop Bet Showdown for a chance to win prizes!
If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information.