Texas squares off against Xavier on Friday, March 24 at 9:45 p.m. ET on CBS in the Midwest Regional semifinal. The 2-seed Longhorns are spread favorites in March Madness odds, with the third-seeded Musketeers to win the game on the moneyline. The point total for Xavier Sweet 16 odds is set at .
In this article, we’ll dissect everything you need to know before placing a bet on these Sweet 16 odds, including team matchups, key metrics, and the best available odds.
Texas vs. Xavier Sweet 16 Odds
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Texas vs. Xavier Matchups
Offense vs. Defense Stats
For a look at the numbers when both the Longhorns and Musketeers palm the ball, plus more betting insights and key player notes, head to our March Madness stats post for this game.
Will Xavier Make Texas’ Defense Pay?
On the surface, the Longhorns possess an edge against Sean Miller’s explosive offense. Texas showcases the 10th-rated adjusted defensive efficiency (per KenPom). Its ball pressure is the trigger to its success, forcing a top-20 turnover rate across D-I. Marcus Carr has truly committed himself to that end of the court this season, and his ball-hawking tendencies have helped his team meet preseason expectations — at least until this point.
Similar to the Tennessee Vols, Rodney Terry’s bunch has a bit of defensive “luck” in each of their first two games of the 2023 NCAA Tournament. In particular, Penn State delivered an 8-of-28 shooting performance against the Horns in the round of 32. The Nittany Lions tallied the second-highest perimeter scoring rate to date, so this instance isn’t a product of late-shot clock heaves.
Granted, variance can easily play a role in any one-game elimination setting. However, that also doesn’t mean that negative regression isn’t around the corner. Enter the Musketeers, boasting the third-ranked 3-point efficiency in college hoops.
Unlike Micah Shrewsberry’s bunch, Xavier isn’t reliant on shooting the rock from behind the arc. With that said, Miller’s offensive acumen shouldn’t be ignored in this situation. Expect the Musketeers to push the pace and aim to exploit Texas’ no-middle defense. As previously alluded to, the Horns allowed the second-highest percentage of open 3-pointers in Big 12 play.
If marksmen Souley Boum, Adam Kunkel, Colby Jones, and even Jack Nunge catch fire in Kansas City, Miller’s floor-spacing attack will help the final score fly over the total. Couple that with both teams exhibiting a top-60 adjusted tempo nationally.
Dylan Disu’s Dynamic Display
How’s that for a tongue twister? The 6-foot-9, 225-pound Disu is finally living up to his pre-knee injury potential, posting 22.5 points and 10 boards in the Horns’ victories over Colgate and PSU. In fact, Disu has logged a pair of 30-minute outings this month. It marks the first time he’s reached this type of workload since his sophomore campaign at Vanderbilt in February 2021.
But he’ll meet his first defensive test in March Madness, going up against the aforementioned Nunge. Not only does Nunge own a slight height advantage against Disu, but he also represents the key to the Musketeers’ top-100 2-point scoring defense.
Whether or not Nunge slows down Disu may be the difference in which team covers the number. That’s because Carr & Co. shouldn’t have an issue dissecting Xavier’s isolation-friendly setup otherwise — especially via mid-range jumpers.
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Texas vs. Xavier Sweet 16 Player Props
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